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Cover of The Uncertain Consequences of Nuclear Weapons Use

Report: The Uncertain Consequences of Nuclear Weapons Use

Michael Frankel, James Scouras, George Ullrich

The considerable body of knowledge on the consequences of nuclear weapons use underlies all operational and policy decisions related to US nuclear planning—but very large uncertainties still remain. As a result, the physical consequences of a nuclear conflict tend to have been underestimated, and a full-spectrum all-effects assessment is not within anyone’s grasp now or in the foreseeable future. This work outlines the current state of our knowledge base and presents recommendations for strengthening it.

   
Cover of The Cyber Dimensions of the Syrian Civil War

Perspective: The Cyber Dimensions of the Syrian Civil War

Edwin Grohe

This Perspective describes cyber operations known to have been used during the Syrian civil war from January 2011 until December 2013. The cyber operations of pro-regime forces, anti-regime forces, and nations providing support, as well as US involvement and its effects on these cyber operations, are discussed as a basis for drawing observations and implications for future conflicts.

   
Cover of Assessing the Risk of Catastrophic Cyber Attack

Analysis Note: Assessing the Risk of Catastrophic Cyber Attack

Michael Frankel, James Scouras, Antonio De Simone

Reflecting on the similarities between cyber and electromagnetic pulse (EMP) attacks, the authors of this Research Note explain how the approach used by the EMP Commission to assess the likelihood and consequences of EMP attacks could provide useful lessons for analysts grappling with the analogous assessment of cyber attacks.

   
Cover of A Conventional Flexible Response Strategy for the Western Pacific

Perspective: A Conventional Flexible Response Strategy for the Western Pacific

Brendan Cooley and James Scouras

Uncertainties about China’s rise and the nature of its future relationship with the United States create the need for a grand strategy that simultaneously hedges against alternative futures while making more worrisome futures less probable. A conventional flexible response strategy could provide adequate deterrent capability at the high end of the spectrum of conflict and be better able to manage confrontations at the low end, while nudging China toward integration into the current global order.


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APL Technical Digest

Technical Digest cover The Johns Hopkins APL Technical Digest is an unclassified technical journal published quarterly by APL. The objective of the publication is to communicate the work performed at the Laboratory to its sponsors and to the scientific and engineering communities, defense establishment, academia, and industry.

Current issue: Wireless Networking and Communications Technologies at APL, Vol. 33, No. 1 (April 2015)

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