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2021

Towards Indirect Top-Down Road Transport Emissions Estimation


Abstract

Road transportation is one of the largest sectors of greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions affecting climate change. Tackling climate change as a global community will require new capabilities to measure and inventory road transport emissions. However, the large scale and distributed nature of vehicle emissions make this sector especially challenging for existing inventory methods. In this work, we develop machine learning models that use satellite imagery to perform indirect top-down estimation of road transport emissions. Our initial experiments focus on the United States, where a bottom-up inventory was available for training our models. We achieved a mean absolute error (MAE) of 39.5 kg CO2 of annual road transport emissions, calculated on a pixel-by-pixel (100 m2) basis in Sentinel-2 imagery. We also discuss key model assumptions and challenges that need to be addressed to develop models capable of generalizing to global geography. We believe this work is the first published approach for automated indirect top-down estimation of road transport sector emissions using visual imagery and represents a critical step towards scalable, global, near real-time road transportation emissions inventories that are measured both independently and objectively.

Citation

@InProceedingsMukherjee_2021_CVPR author : Mukherjee Ryan and Rollend Derek and Christie Gordon and Hadzic Armin and Matson Sally and Saksena Anshu and Hughes Marisa title : Towards Indirect Top-Down Road Transport Emissions Estimation booktitle: Proceedings of the IEEE/CVF Conference on Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition (CVPR) Workshops month : June year : 2021 pages : 1092-1101

Citation

@InProceedingsMukherjee_2021_CVPR author : Mukherjee Ryan and Rollend Derek and Christie Gordon and Hadzic Armin and Matson Sally and Saksena Anshu and Hughes Marisa title : Towards Indirect Top-Down Road Transport Emissions Estimation booktitle: Proceedings of the IEEE/CVF Conference on Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition (CVPR) Workshops month : June year : 2021 pages : 1092-1101