The Johns Hopkins University's Applied Physics Laboratory and Paul H. Nitze School of Advanced International Studies are sponsoring a symposium on Combating the Unrestricted Warfare Threat. This year, the symposium is cosponsored by government leaders in the strategy, analysis, technology, and intelligence communities: Office of the Undersecretary of Defense for Policy [OUSD(P)], Office of the Director, Program Analysis and Evaluation (ODPA&E), the Defense Advanced Research Projects Agency (DARPA), and the National Intelligence Council (NIC). Symposium attendees have a unique opportunity to join a community of experts as they seek to meet the unrestricted warfare threat by integrating strategy, analysis, and technology.
The first day of this symposium will feature UNCLASSIFIED sessions. The second day features CLASSIFIED sessions, and a SECRET CLEARANCE is required to attend. There will be themed keynote addresses each day, as well as talks by other featured speakers. Roundtables will address particular challenge areas and seek to integrate diverse perspectives to further develop an understanding of unrestricted warfare threats and strategies, explore approaches to analysis and assessment, and examine technological counters to threats in both the information and physical domains. A highlight of the symposium will be the closing panel of senior government officials who will offer their perspectives on this critical challenge and answer questions from participants. The symposium also features interactive audience participation using electronic groupware accessible by all participants. The collection of papers and transcripts of discussions will again be published in the Proceedings, and provided to all attendees as soon as practicable after the event. In this way, we seek to build a body of cross-disciplinary knowledge that is useful as an intellectual foundation for combating the unrestricted warfare threat.
Featured Speakers
There will be several featured speakers, including two keynote addresses. The first address will be a senior
warfighter's perspective on the integration of strategy, analysis, and technology to combat unrestricted warfare; the second will be a perspective on the evolving unrestricted warfare threat from a senior intelligence official. Also featured are technology and analysis policy messages that address the changes needed to meet the threat. Our luncheon and dinner speakers will bring a private sector perspective to the challenges of international trade in the post 9/11 world.
Roundtables
The symposium includes five roundtables, each composed of a moderator and three or four panelists. The first day will include a strategic policy roundtable on the nature of unrestricted warfare and an analysis roundtable. On the second day, there will be two roundtables focusing on the role of technology in combating unrestricted warfare, and another strategic policy roundtable on the concept of tailored deterrence. The moderator will provide a brief overview of the topic and introduce the panelists. Each panelist will then have 10 to 15 minutes to present his or her views, after which the group will take questions from the audience.
Senior-Level Panel
The symposium’s culminating event is a panel of senior-level government and military officials who will offer their perspectives on integrating strategy, analysis, and technology to counter the unrestricted warfare threat. The panel will include representatives from the Departments of Defense, Homeland Security, and Justice, including OSD and the Joint Staff, USSOCOM, the National Counter Terrorism Center, and the FBI. After presenting their views, the panelists will take questions from the audience.
What Is Unrestricted Warfare?
The United States is presently encountering a national security threat different than the conventional warfare for which we have become preeminent in the world. This new threat is becoming known as "Unrestricted
warfare" and spans two of the four "security environments"
identified by DoD for use in strategic planning: Irregular and Catastrophic, as contrasted with Traditional and Disruptive challenges. Both state and non-state actors, seeking to gain advantage over stronger state opponents, will employ a multitude of means, both military and non-military, to strike out during times of conflict.
What is new and different is that the few can impact the many, with a global reach enabled by advanced information
technology. The effect is that tactical level engagements
can now have immediate implications regarding strategic security postures.
The first rule of unrestricted warfare is that there are no rules; nothing is forbidden. Unrestricted warfare employs surprise and deception and uses both civilian technology and military weapons to break the opponent's will. The recent book by Qiao and Wang offers an overview of unrestricted warfare, utilizing "unrestricted employment of measures, but restricted to the accomplishment of limited objectives." Among the many means cited in their description of unrestricted warfare are integrated attacks exploiting diverse areas of vulnerability to produce a grand strategy:
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Cultural warfare by influencing or controlling cultural viewpoints within the adversary nation
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Drug warfare by targeting an adversary nation with illegal drugs
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Economic aid warfare by using aid dependency to control a targeted adversary
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Environmental warfare by despoiling the natural environment of the adversary nation
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Financial warfare by subverting the adversary's banking system and stock market
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International law warfare by subverting the policies of international or multinational organizations
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Media warfare by manipulating foreign news media
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Network warfare by dominating or subverting transnational information systems
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Psychological warfare by dominating the adversary nation's perception of its capabilities
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Resource warfare by controlling access to scarce natural resources or manipulating their market value
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Smuggling warfare by flooding an adversary's markets with illegal goods
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Technological warfare by gaining advantage or control of key civilian and military technologies
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Terrorism
Reference: Unrestricted Warfare, Col. Qiao Liang and Col. Wang Xiangsui, Panama City, Panama, 2002.
The National Critical Challenge
The United States must adapt its national security focus to fighting and defending itself against the radical Islamic insurgency and future adversaries who choose catastrophic terrorist attacks as their weapon of choice. This involves development of strategy, concepts and capabilities appropriate to protracted conflicts of an unrestricted nature.
Unrestricted warfare will manifest itself across the full spectrum of political, social, economic, and military networks, blurring the distinction between war and peace and between combatants and bystanders. This type of war is not new, as noted by John F. Kennedy in 1962: what is new and different today is the global reach of adversaries, enabled by advanced information technology.
| “This is another type of war, new in its intensity, ancient in its origins—war by guerrillas, subversives, insurgents, assassins; war by ambush instead of by combat; by infiltration, instead of aggression, seeking victory by eroding and exhausting the enemy instead of engaging him… It requires in those situations where we must counter it…. a whole new kind of strategy, a wholly different kind of force, and therefore a new and wholly different kind of military training.” |
John F. Kennedy
USMA Graduation Speech, 1962 |
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Symposium Objective
Given our recent experience, the United States expects
unrestricted warfare to manifest itself across the full spectrum of political, social, economic, and military networks - blurring the distinction between war and peace, combatants and bystanders. This symposium series seeks to aid in developing the strategy, concepts, and capabilities appropriate to this protracted conflict by bringing together prominent strategists, analysts, and technologists. We hope that active participation and networking of symposium attendees will form a new, integrated community dedicated to countering our increasingly sophisticated adversaries.
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