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DESCRIPTION:India: Decision Making on External Security Issues\n\nThe focus
here will be on how India makes key external-security decisions—e.g.\,
war plans\, use of force\, and major defense acquisitions. The US clearly
has high stakes in Indian security choices: a rising India can be seen as
a counterweight to China\, India can be seen as a geopolitical/security pa
rtner for the US\, and as a mega-arms purchaser\, India can be seen as a m
ajor market for US arms\, with the bonus of US-Indian interoperability. Wh
y focus on how India makes these decisions? The U.S. tends to focus on out
puts/outcomes of high concern to the U.S. We often infer India’s intenti
ons from what India decides\, ignoring how it decides and what internal fa
ctors influence choices. But anticipating what India will do\, keeping U.S
. expectations realistic\, and monitoring the potential for closer collabo
ration require a deeper understanding of several factors. What are the und
erlying debates that shape India’s external-security decisions? Who real
ly decides what in India? Who/what can be mustered to inform and support d
ecision making? What are the domestic pressures on decision makers?\n\nPol
ly (Mary) Nayak consults\, lectures\, and writes on issues ranging from So
uth Asia and proliferation to terrorism and intelligence analysis. Ms. Nay
ak serves on the Sandia National Laboratories Distinguished Advisory Panel
. She teaches at several government agencies and at the Foreign Service In
stitute and lectures at universities and foreign policy organizations arou
nd the country. Ms. Nayak retired in 2002 from CIA's Senior Intelligence S
ervice\; her intelligence career encompassed diverse issues and regions. A
s the Director of Central Intelligence (DCI)-appointed Issue Manager for S
outh Asia from 1995-2001\, she was the Intelligence Community's senior off
icial and expert on the region\, drawing on her extensive experience there
. Ms. Nayak earlier was Deputy Chief of the Director of Intelligence's (DI
) Africa Division (1992-1995)\, managed analysis on South America and on A
frica\, and was a briefer on the President's Daily Brief staff (1986-87).
Ms. Nayak capped her CIA career with a Federal Executive Fellowship at the
Brookings Institution in Washington (2001-2002.) She has published numero
us articles since then\, including a co-authored monograph (2006) based on
interviews of senior US policy makers who helped avert war between India
and Pakistan in 2002\, in the midst of Operation Enduring Freedom. Ms. Nay
ak’s publications in 2011 included two monographs—Aiding Without Abett
ing\, on US aid to Pakistan\, and The Unfinished Crisis: US Crisis Managem
ent After the 2008 Mumbai Attacks. She also published two book chapters in
2011—“Prospects for U.S.-India Counter Terrorism Cooperation: An Hist
orical Perspective” and “U.S. Crisis Management in South Asia’s Twin
Peaks Crisis.”\n
DTEND;TZID="Eastern Standard Time":20121102T150000
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DTSTART;TZID="Eastern Standard Time":20121102T140000
LAST-MODIFIED:20121004T172535Z
LOCATION:Parsons Auditorium
PRIORITY:5
SEQUENCE:0
SUMMARY;LANGUAGE=en-us:Colloquium - Polly Nayak\, Independent Consultant -
India: Decision Making on External Security Issues
TRANSP:OPAQUE
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010000000E5F04E97E65B094FAEA6546A81C0A7AF
X-ALT-DESC;FMTTYPE=text/html:\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\nInd
ia: Decision Making on External Security Issues
\n\n<
P DIR=LTR>\n\nThe focus here will be on
how India makes key external-security decisions—e.g.\, war plans\, use
of force\, and major defense acquisitions. The US clearly has high stakes
in Indian security choices: a rising India can be seen as a counterweight
to China\, India can be seen as a geopolitical/security partner for the US
\, and as a mega-arms purchaser\, India can be seen as a major market for
US arms\, with the bonus of US-Indian interoperability. Why focus on how I
ndia makes these decisions? The U.S. tends to focus on outputs/outcomes of
high concern to the U.S. We often infer India’s intentions from what In
dia decides\, ignoring how it decides and what internal factors influence
choices. But anticipating what India will do\, keeping U.S. expectations r
ealistic\, and monitoring the potential for closer collaboration require a
deeper understanding of several factors. What are the underlying debates
that shape India’s external-security decisions? Who really decides what
in India? Who/what can be mustered to inform and support decision making?
What are the domestic pressures on decision makers?
\n\n<
P DIR=LTR>Polly (Mary) Nayak consults\, lectures\, and writes on issues ranging f
rom South Asia and proliferation to terrorism and intelligence analysis. M
s. Nayak serves on the Sandia National Laboratories Distinguished Advisory
Panel. She teaches at several government agencies and at the Foreign Serv
ice Institute and lectures at universities and foreign policy organization
s around the country. Ms. Nayak retired in 2002 from CIA's Senior Intellig
ence Service\; her intelligence career encompassed diverse issues and regi
ons. As the Director of Central Intelligence (DCI)-appointed Issue Manager
for South Asia from 1995-2001\, she was the Intelligence Community's seni
or official and expert on the region\, drawing on her extensive experience
there. Ms. Nayak earlier was Deputy Chief of the Director of Intelligence
's (DI) Africa Division (1992-1995)\, managed analysis on South America an
d on Africa\, and was a briefer on the President's Daily Brief staff (1986
-87). Ms. Nayak capped her CIA career with a Federal Executive Fellowship
at the Brookings Institution in Washington (2001-2002.) She has published
numerous articles since then\, including a co-authored monograph (2006) ba
sed on interviews of senior US policy makers who helped avert war between
India and Pakistan in 2002\, in the midst of Operation Enduring Freedom. M
s. Nayak’s publications in 2011 included two monographs—Aiding Without
Abetting\, on US aid to Pakistan\, and The Unfinished Crisis: US Crisis M
anagement After the 2008 Mumbai Attacks. She also published two book chapt
ers in 2011—“Prospects for U.S.-India Counter Terrorism Cooperation: A
n Historical Perspective” and “U.S. Crisis Management in South Asia’
s Twin Peaks Crisis.”\n\n\n
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