Papers published on this website have been produced by the
Johns Hopkins University Applied Physics Laboratory, Laurel MD.

The ideas presented are intended to provoke serious thinking. Each paper reflects the views of its author alone and does not necessarily imply concurrence by APL or any other organization or agency, public or private.

Illustrates from the history of our Civil War how American strategy evolves and then extrapolates and suggests ways in which strategy in the global war on terror will likely evolve. Part One introduces the subject and Part Two is an after-action report on a conference sponsored by JHU/APL. The goal is to show which aspects of the American strategy in the war on terror will probably change and how they will change, as well as some specific policy recommendations primarily developed from conference results.

Defense Economics
(March 2005)
by F. Killelea

Culture's Mask:
War & Change After Iraq
September 2004
by M. Vlahos

• Abstract
• About the Author
• Annotated Table of Contents
• Recommended Readings

Terror's Mask:
Insurgency Within Islam
Updated Commentary, November 2003
by M. Vlahos

• Abstract
• About the Author
• Table of Contents
• Recommended Readings

• Principles of War -- Essays by  R. Leonhard
  A series of short articles, originally published in The Armchair General magazine, primarily covering each classic Principle of War individually:
   

  Objective	Security	Simplicity
  Mass	Surprise	Economy of Force
  Myth of Offensive	Unity of Command	Belisarius & Small Force Theory

• Perspectives on Military Transformation: Towards a Global Security Force by M. Vlahos. An American “crisis-ethos ” has expanded the Military ’s mission to make it the world ’s security-management force. This expansion has the potential to change the Military in ways that are culturally uncomfortable and operationally risky. August, 2003
• Let’s Get Closer: Remembering the Relevance of Close Combat, by R. Leonhard
• Alternative Futures: Scenario Planning for 21st-Century National Security (March 2005): this paper examines potential geopolitical strategic futures, their impact on national security and the military, military required technology and related R&D. This document is FOUO and available to government, military, and DoD contractors by special request from the author.
  by D. Brown, D. Randall (Global Business Network), and F. Fernandez (Consultant to JHU/APL)
• Two Enemies: How Change Comes to the Muslim World: The Middle East conflict has evolved into a conflict between the U.S. and its Arab supporters and two enemies or fighter groups. Both groups seek to liberate Muslims from what they see as twin evils of local tyranny and an unbeliever invasion. The U.S. by invading Iraq has accelerated change in the Muslim world and elevated and legitimated politically the two groups. The United States has thus dramatically advanced the cause of successor politics in the Muslim World. The old status quo is dead. America must now choose between two different, authentically Muslim change agents.
  by M. Vlahos
• The Unraveling and Revitalization of U.S. Navy Antisubmarine Warfare by J. Benedict Naval War College Review, Spring 2005. (Awarded Honorable Mention, Surface Navy Literary Award by the Surface Navy Association) We can learn from previous successes and failures in ASW to better shape our efforts at revitalizing ASW today and in the future. Numerous open literature source materials were reviewed to document ASW capabilities and trends in the past and to establish what factors most correlated to ASW wholeness ("health"). 

Since 2004 JHUAPL has facilitated a national-level seminar series sponsored by the Office of Force Transformation and the Secretary of the Navy. The series presents distinguished speakers addressing the changing character of global competitions, issues relating to the Principles of War, concerns about world resources and other challenges the U.S. and her allies face. See the Rethinking Seminar Series website for archived videos of past events and information on upcoming seminars.

Recommended Readings & Links

• The Developing Iraqi Insurgency: Status at End-2004 by A. Cordesman, Center for Strategic and International Studies, December 22, 2004
• Imperial Hubris: Why the West Is Losing the War on Terror by Anonymous (M. Scheuer)
• When Devils Walk The Earth: The Mentality and Roots of Terrorism, and How to Respond by R. Peters for The Center For Emerging Threats and Opportunities
• Rolling Back Radical Islam by R. Peters PARAMETERS, US Army War College Quarterly - Autumn 2002
• Insurgency and Counterinsurgency in the 21st Century: Reconceputalizing Threat and Response Nov 2004 by Dr. S. Metz, LTC R. A. Millen, USA Strategic Studies Institute
• Shadows of Things Past and Images of the Future: Lessons for the Insurgencies in Our Midst Nov 2004 by Dr. M. G. Manwaring, USA Strategic Studies Institute
• World War IV: How It Started, What It Means, and Why We Have to Win by N. Podhoretz Commentary Sept 2004
• The War Against World War IV by N. Podhoretz Commentary Jan 2005
• Readers may also find similar thought-provoking publications at the websites belonging at these Links for National Security Studies