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Session 1:
The
Changing Nature of War
Speakers:
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James
Carafano USA (ret), Heritage Foundation
Winning the Long War: Lessons from the Cold War for
Defeating Terrorism and Preserving Freedom
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James
Schneider, School of Advanced Military Studies, Ft Leavenworth
This panel discussion will aim at describing
the future of the national security challenge by showing how warfare has
changed in the recent past and by characterizing the security environment of
the future. Panelists will discuss both the continuities and discontinuities
in warfare, and they will comment on the likely relevance and longevity of the
current threat from global Islamic insurgency, in comparison to other threats
on the horizon.
Discussion Questions:
a. What has NOT changed about warfare? In
other words, what are the continuities in warfare?
b. What HAS changed? Are there clear discontinuities in modern warfare? Is
there any historical analogy to the current global insurgency threat? Has
precision technology changed the guiding principles of war?
c. Is the threat of terror, irregular warfare, and insurgency the only major
threat on the horizon for the foreseeable future, or are there other threats
as well? How might the GWOT merge with other, conventional or near peer
competitor threats? Will China and the US inevitably clash, or is there real
opportunity for strategic cooperation?
d. To what degree will piracy, banditry, and civil unrest cause law
enforcement and military operations to merge?
e. Will the future security environment require an evolution of American and
coalition warfighting capability, or a revolutionary new approach? How much
security will Americans/coalition populations be willing both to pay for and
tolerate?
f. Has the concept of a constitutionally declared war expired, along with
the implied dichotomy of "war" and "peace", in favor of the permanent
integration of force and violence as components of grand strategy?
g. Have the principles of war changed? If so, how?
Session 2: Strategic
Implications
Speakers:
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Ralph
Peters, (LTC, USA, ret)
Beyond
Baghdad, Beyond Terror
& Fighting for the Future
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Dr. Terry C.
Pierce, (CAPT USN) US Naval Postgraduate School
Warfighting and Disruptive Technologies: Disguising
Innovation
This panel discussion will focus specifically
on the grand strategic implications of the future security challenge.
Panelists will discuss principles for the employment of all elements of
national and coalition power, the structure and dynamics of future alliance
systems, and the strategic imperatives for success.
Discussion Questions:
a. What are the elements of national power
for the future? Can we add any to the traditional four: diplomatic,
informational, military, economic? Can intelligence be considered an element
of power? What about culture, education?
b. In the recent past strategy tended to be first and foremost military,
with "add-ins" from the other elements. How will future strategists
integrate the elements of power? Should we pursue a Goldwater-Nichols II?
c. What alliances are relevant, and which are not for the future? How will
coalition warfare change? What is the relevance of the UN, NATO/PFP, SEATO,
G8, et al.? How might the role of NGOs/PVOs change?
d. What are the strategic imperatives of the future? One could point to
broad strategic visions of the past, like Mutual Assured Destruction,
Containment, or the Carter Doctrine as examples. What about the future?
e. Have the principles of war changed? If so, how?
Luncheon Speaker:
Dr. Angel Rabasa RAND
The Muslim World after 9/11 (Summary
Description)
The Speaker will discuss:
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Factors that produce religious extremism &
violence
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Sectors of the Muslim world that the US
might be able to work with in the future
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Strategies the US might consider employing
in the Muslim world with pros, cons & recommendations
Session 3:
Military
Implications
Speakers:
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Williamson (Wick)
Murray, Institute for Defense Analyses
The Iraq War: A Military History
w/ Robert H. Scales (USA, ret)
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Dr. John
Alexander, (Col, USA, ret)
Winning the War: Advanced Weapons, Strategies, and
Concepts for the Post-9/11 World
This panel discussion will bring the focus down
to military implications of the future national security challenge. Panelists
will discuss critically needed military capabilities and technologies, and
they will comment also on those capabilities/technologies that are losing
relevance. They will discuss the balance between special forces and general
purpose forces, as well as the relationship between military forces and the
other agencies of the government, including local law enforcement. Finally,
they will discuss the most likely characteristics of future military
operations.
Discussion Questions:
a. What are the critically needed capabilities and technologies for
the military of the future--land, sea, air, space, and cyberspace? What
will be the role/relevance of robotics and non-lethal munitions?
b. How will we educate the military officer of the future? How should we
structure the military career?
c. What capabilities are we now funding that are losing relevance? What
critical capabilities/technologies are required for future success? Has the
RMA mutated into a Leninist-like "permanent revolution" with no end state?
d. What should the balance be between special forces and general purpose
forces?
e. Will the distinctions in roles blur between military and law enforcement?
f. Is mechanized land warfare an anachronism? What about fleet actions? Air
battles? What type of operations will likely characterize future conflict in
the air, land, sea, space, and cyberspace?
g. What is the new American Way of War? How has Weigley's model changed?
h. Have the principles of war changed? If so, how?
The Agenda
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